Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046985 0.053969 0.061196 0.069199 0.077783 0.086683 0.096578
2025-06-29 0.037448 0.047966 0.059495 0.072912 0.087947 0.104141 0.122773
2025-07-06 0.029505 0.041755 0.055879 0.072995 0.092836 0.114813 0.140710
2025-07-13 0.027128 0.041303 0.058244 0.079338 0.104329 0.132493 0.166162
2025-07-20 0.021192 0.035586 0.053605 0.076807 0.105011 0.137436 0.176829
2025-07-27 0.019115 0.034476 0.054346 0.080514 0.112861 0.150519 0.196731
2025-08-03 0.016290 0.031948 0.052971 0.081347 0.117051 0.159163 0.211372
2025-08-10 0.013699 0.029381 0.051264 0.081527 0.120259 0.166508 0.224389
2025-08-17 0.011073 0.026373 0.048667 0.080316 0.121547 0.171403 0.234393
2025-08-24 0.008138 0.022360 0.044285 0.076429 0.119200 0.171675 0.238700
2025-08-31 0.006102 0.019446 0.041190 0.074029 0.118556 0.173883 0.245211
2025-09-07 0.004890 0.017787 0.039806 0.073862 0.120717 0.179502 0.255819
2025-09-14 0.003700 0.016015 0.038299 0.073741 0.123326 0.186211 0.268485
2025-09-21 0.003363 0.016065 0.039777 0.078038 0.132016 0.200840 0.291224
2025-09-28 0.002480 0.014546 0.038493 0.078188 0.135055 0.208269 0.305073
2025-10-05 0.002549 0.015512 0.041508 0.084795 0.146963 0.227126 0.333234
2025-10-12 0.001571 0.013172 0.038502 0.082164 0.146072 0.229446 0.340697
2025-10-19 0.001392 0.013191 0.039736 0.086019 0.154180 0.243436 0.362840
2025-10-26 0.001001 0.012256 0.039087 0.086885 0.158076 0.251933 0.378075
2025-11-02 0.000653 0.011189 0.038059 0.087072 0.160964 0.259088 0.391605
2025-11-09 0.000336 0.009799 0.036204 0.085813 0.161712 0.263372 0.401457
2025-11-16 0.000080 0.007822 0.032790 0.081771 0.158284 0.261996 0.403982
2025-11-23 0.000006 0.006447 0.030411 0.079274 0.156973 0.263348 0.409930